November 2004 - Ref N94
Routes out of poverty
Although
many people remain poor for some time, there is considerable
movement into and out of poverty. Policy-makers are increasingly
interested in the ways in which people escape from poverty. This
study by the Social Policy Research Unit at the University of York
reviewed existing evidence on this topic and found that:
- There is considerable mobility of
income from one year to the next, with people moving into and out of
poverty. However, most do not move far up or down the income
distribution scale.

- Work is the most important route out
of poverty for working-age people, but not a guaranteed one. There
is evidence of a 'low pay, no pay' cycle of moving from unemployment
into low-paid work and back again.

- For some economically inactive
people, especially severely disabled people, paid employment is not
a realistic option. In these cases, increases in social security
benefits could be the most important ladder out of poverty.

- Success in education and training is
an increasingly important route out of poverty for young people, but
there is evidence of increasing polarisation between those who stay
on and gain qualifications and those who do not.

- Changes to the tax/benefit package
since 1999 have lifted large numbers of families with children out
of poverty.

- Maintenance payments can be a ladder
out of poverty and into work (by acting as a wage supplement) if
they are regular and not offset by falls in benefit. Acquiring a new
partner, especially one in work, is an important ladder out of
poverty for lone parents.

- Although income changes in later life
are less sharp than for younger generations, older people also move
into and out of poverty. Changes in non-labour income such as
pensions and savings are the main routes out of poverty.

- Since 1999, means-tested income
top-up for pensioners has increased substantially above rises in
average earnings, enhancing its role as a ladder out of poverty.
However, a third of entitled older people do not claim it. Increased
benefit take-up would help older people to escape from poverty.

Background
There is a long history of research into poverty in Britain,
stretching back to the pioneering work of Seebohm Rowntree at the
beginning of the twentieth century. Much of this research has been
based on poverty at a particular moment in time. However, in recent
years, research has begun to examine the dynamic as well as the
static aspects of poverty. This new research has helped to shift the
focus of attention towards a better understanding not just of routes
into poverty, but also - crucially - routes out of poverty.
The Joseph Rowntree Foundation is
supporting a programme of research on ladders out of poverty. As
part of this initiative, the Foundation commissioned a review of the
existing evidence on the subject. The review focused on income
poverty and income trajectories, but did not cover broader questions
around social mobility. The sources on which it was based are listed
in the full report of the review.
Routes into and out of poverty
Recent research on the dynamics of poverty has revealed that there
is considerable mobility of income from one year to the next,
including movement into and out of poverty. Consequently, the number
of people affected by poverty is much greater than the number
experiencing it at any one point in time.
However, most income mobility takes place over a relatively short
scale and there is considerable persistence in poverty among some
groups of people. Those most at risk of persistent poverty are
children, older people, lone parents, social housing tenants, adults
with no educational qualifications and workless households.
In the 1990s, over a third of people
on low incomes escaped from poverty between one year and the next.
Apart from education, the key ladders out of poverty identified by
the review were:
- paid work - moves into work or
increased earnings;
- increases in non-labour income;
- changes in household composition;
- moves out of ill-health or disability.
Labour-market events were the most
common routes out of poverty, but the importance of different routes
varied from one type of household to another.
For lone parents, the event most
likely to be associated with escape from poverty in the 1990s was
acquiring a new partner, where this was accompanied by a move into
paid work. For couples with children, labour-market events were the
most common ladder out of poverty. Demographic events, such as
changes in household type or reductions in the number of children in
the household, were much less important.
For older people, increases in
non-benefit, non-labour income - mainly pensions and savings - were
the most common route out of poverty in the 1990s. The next most
common route was improvements in mental and physical health, mainly
because of their relatively high incidence among older people.
Although very few older people were affected by labour-market
events, where these occurred they were associated with a very high
rate of escape from poverty.
Work as a ladder out of poverty
Paid work is the most common route out of poverty, but it is not a
guaranteed one. Just over half of adults of working age who are in
poverty - 2.6 million people - live in households where at least one
person is working.
Work is not always a route out of
poverty because some jobs are low paid. Low pay is concentrated
among certain industries (such as catering, retail and residential
care) and occupations (for example, hairdressers, cleaners and
security guards). Women and young people are the most likely to be
low paid. The incidence of low pay has increased over the past
quarter of a century.
For many people, low pay is not a
transient experience: low-paid workers tend to remain low paid.
Low-paid jobs often do not act as stepping-stones to better-paid
ones; they are more likely to constitute dead ends from which there
is relatively little prospect of escape. Low-paid jobs also tend to
be more precarious than higher-paid ones. Indeed, there appears to
be a 'low pay, no pay' cycle in which periods of low pay are
interspersed with periods of unemployment. Being out of work appears
to have a 'scarring' effect on future earnings, thereby helping to
perpetuate low pay. Moreover, this wage penalty increases with
length of time out of work.
The National Minimum Wage has helped
to tackle the problem of low pay. It has raised the pay of about 1.3
million workers, or about 5-6 per cent of all employees. About
three-quarters of those who have benefited are women.
Despite having one of the lowest
unemployment rates among the Organisation for Economic Co-operation
and Development countries, Britain also has one of the highest rates
of worklessness. Currently, about one in six working-age households
has no adult in paid employment. Since 1997, various New Deals have
been introduced to improve employability and help long-term
unemployed and economically inactive people into work. The emerging
evaluations of these programmes point to success in helping people
into unsubsidised jobs. However, these programmes have been better
able to help people who are reasonably 'job ready' than those who
are more detached from the labour market.
For some economically inactive
people, including the most severely disabled people, paid employment
is not a realistic option and therefore not a route out of poverty.
Most of these people rely on social security benefits for their
income. For such households, improvements in social security
benefits could be the most important ladder out of poverty.
Young people
The transition from childhood to adulthood has become more
protracted and, for some, more fractured than in the past. Critical
points in this transition can act as ladders out of, or snakes into,
poverty. For young people, ladders out of poverty operate on three
interconnected pathways: the school-to-work transition, the domestic
transition and the housing transition.
Changes in the nature of the labour
market and in family structures mean that young people face new
risks and challenges when making the transition from education to
employment. In today's labour market there is greater demand for a
highly trained workforce, while traditional craft apprenticeship
routes to employment have declined. Most young people stay on in
education or training for longer than their predecessors did. Those
who do not stay on have fewer opportunities and a more insecure
outlook later on in life. Despite the New Deal for Young People,
long-term unemployment among young people has not been eliminated,
though it is at a much lower level than it was in 1997.
Young people with caring
responsibilities often miss out on education, which can later lead
to unemployment and social exclusion. Young people from certain
minority ethnic backgrounds are at increased risk of lower
educational achievement and discrimination in the labour market.
Young people's family of origin is a
crucial determinant of their future success. Good family
relationships can provide a route out of poverty by enabling young
people to follow their chosen careers. For young people with a
disability, their family's resources are crucial for a successful
transfer to independent living. However, for some of the most
disadvantaged young people, a problematic family background may be
part of their difficulties.
The supply of affordable housing
available to young people has fallen because of a decline of social
housing, constraints on access to privately rented housing, and an
owner-occupier sector characterised by price inflation. Living in
the parental home can soften the impact of unemployment and low-paid
jobs. Low-income young people who have left home often live in poor
physical conditions and need parental support.
Families with children
Changes to the child tax and benefit package since 1999 have lifted
large numbers of families with children out of poverty. The
Government is on schedule to achieve its target of reducing the
number of children in relative poverty by a quarter between 1998-99
and 2004-05.
Income from paid work is the most
important ladder out of poverty for families with children,
especially full-time work for lone parents. Acquiring a new partner
can be a ladder out of poverty for lone parents, particularly if the
new partner is employed. However, the high cost of childcare can be
a barrier to taking up paid work and can make people worse off in
work than on benefits. Affordable, accessible, high-quality
childcare is essential for paid work to be a more secure ladder out
of poverty for lone parents.
Income from child support
(maintenance) payments can also help to make work pay for lone
parents. It can enable them to manage on lower earnings or shorter
hours or, by supplementing wages, make combining work with looking
after children a financially viable option. But child support is
only an effective ladder out of poverty for children if it increases
income, is not off-set by a fall in benefit, and is both regular and
reliable. In addition, child support payments to first families can
act as a route into poverty for the second families of non-resident
parents.
Improvements in the tax and benefit
system since 1999 have helped to lift the most severely disabled
children from poverty. Nevertheless, families with disabled children
are disproportionately likely to be in poverty.
Older people
'Snakes and ladders' is a better descriptor of the income changes
that affect working-age adults and children than is the case for
older people. The level and source of income in retirement is
determined by opportunities in working life. Retirement itself can
be a snake if it results in a sharp drop in income.
Post-retirement income tends to vary
less than income during working age. Even so, there is significant
movement into and out of poverty among older people.
A sizeable minority of older people
continue to work beyond retirement age, but the proportion doing so
tails off quite quickly after five years. There is a high rate of
escape from poverty among older people who continue to work.
For most older people, investments
are not a major source of income, but they have become more
important over the post-war period. Income from investments is
associated with short-range mobility of income, which suggests that
it is not a very secure source of income.
The loss of a partner can result in
significant change in household income. It can lead to a reduction
in poverty, mainly for technical reasons connected with the way in
which incomes are 'equivalised' to take account of different sizes
of household (the same money income is valued more highly for
singles than for couples). But where the surviving spouse does not
inherit their partner's pension income, poverty may increase. This
disproportionately affects women since they are more likely to be
both survivors and without separate pensions rights.
The level of means-tested benefit for
pensioners has increased very substantially in real terms since
1999, but a significant minority of older people fail to claim these
benefits. Improved take-up of benefits is thus a potential ladder
out of poverty for people above state retirement age.
About the project
Drawing on existing knowledge supplemented by database and website
searches, the researchers endeavoured to encompass a wide range of
literature including academic journals and books, government
publications and grey literature, though the amount of material that
could be included in the review was constrained by the budget and
timescale available. Within these constraints, the research focused
more on quantitative than on qualitative research evidence.
How to get further
information
The full report, Routes out of poverty:
A research review by Peter Kemp, Jonathan Bradshaw, Paul Dornan,
Naomi Finch and Emese Mayhew, is published by the Joseph Rowntree
Foundation (ISBN 1 85935 230 8, price £13.95).
Click on the 'order report' icon in
the left margin to order online.
Click on the 'report .pdf' icon in the
left margin to download a pdf of the full report free of charge. (File
size is 0.29MB). |