Families the Chancellor has pledged to help will still be worse off next year even with the support announced in today’s Autumn Statement

The Joseph Rowntree Foundation (JRF) looked at how Jeremy Hunt’s decisions will impact some example households and found one-off payments and uprating benefits do not make up for rising rents, energy bills and other costs.

According to JRF’s analysis, someone unemployed, on a low income, aged over 25 renting a room will be £538 worse off.

It's an example of how many people will face the worst winter, JRF says, falling behind on bills, unable to afford hot meals. It will be very difficult for these people to wait for further support next April, and anything but an increase to their living standards is unlikely to stop them going without the essentials.

Meanwhile, a low-income couple in work with two children will be £103 worse off in 2023/24 than this year.

Examples

Single person, not working, aged 25+
Change in regular income £406
Removal of last year's one-off payments -£1,200
This year's one-off payments £900
Net change in incomes £106
Change in energy bills £828
Reduction due to Energy Price Guarantee (EPG) -£471
Change in rents £197
Change in other costs £90
Net change in spending £644
Net decrease in living standards -£538
% of possible decrease in living standards mitigated in Autumn Statement 66%
Working couple, two children (assumed ages 5 and 7), one parent working full time just above the National Living Wage and one working part time on National Living Wage
Change in regular income £2,248
Removal of last year's one-off payments -£1,200
This year's one-off payments £900
Net change in incomes £1,948
Change in energy bills £1,399
Reduction due to Energy Price Guarantee (EPG) -£571
Change in rents £371
Change in council tax (original) £63
Change in council tax (additional) £42
Change in other costs £807
Net change in spending £2,052
Net decrease in living standards -£103
% of possible decrease in living standards mitigated in Autumn Statement 94%

Notes

Both households are assumed to be renting in a mid-cost area (Kernow West). They are assumed to be paying for energy by direct debit.

Read the latest OBR’s Economic and Fiscal Outlook.