- Real median income is projected to grow by around 5.1% between 2015-16 and 2021-22. However, this may turn out to be optimistic.
- Inequality is projected to rise between 2015-16 and 2021-22, as working age benefits are cut and real earnings growth boosts the income of higher income households.
- At the UK level, absolute poverty is projected to remain roughly unchanged between 2015-16 and 2021-22. Absolute child poverty is projected to rise by 4.1 percentage points, primarily due to the impact of planned changes to working-age benefits.
- Absolute poverty is projected to fall in the South, the East, Yorkshire and Scotland, but rise in the North East, North West, Wales, Northern Ireland and the Midlands.
- Those regions where low-income families are less reliant upon earnings (and therefore more reliant upon benefits) are projected to see a larger increase in absolute poverty.
The full report is available here: http://www.ifs.org.uk/publications/10028