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The building blocks of economic security in Scotland

This briefing explores what is driving widespread feelings of economic insecurity in Scotland today.

We asked respondents to select the top areas that would make the biggest difference to their own economic security. Across income quintiles, the top 3 were consistently lower cost of essentials, higher pay and improved pension savings. However, there were some variations in preferences further down the list across income quintiles:

  • for lower-income households, solutions around the social security system and support with debt were selected more compared to higher-income quintiles
  • for higher-income quintiles we see good work (both security, and terms and conditions) and childcare higher up the list of solutions
  • there is a greater spread across the solutions for people in income quintile 1 than other quintiles, reinforcing that the drivers of economic insecurity go beyond household income. 

This shows political parties that addressing living standards is a top priority among voters across the income distribution, with broad support for policies that improve living standards across the life course.

Having a higher income generally creates a buffer for people to cover everyday costs, build up more security through saving and bounce back from unexpected expenses more quickly. This provides people with more certainty to plan for the future, and enables them to feel confident in the quality of life they will have in older age. Yet, looking at income alone does not give us the full picture. The wider social and economic structures in our society can either reinforce or undermine economic security.

People in Scotland are telling us that the status quo is no longer working. Politicians must show people that these systems, like social security, the labour market and housing, can be redesigned to ensure everyone has the security they need to live a good life.

Economic security explainer diagram that shows what people in Scotland consider to be the components of economic security.
Diagram illustrating what people in Scotland consider to be the components of economic security.

These findings chime with our previous research on in-work poverty. The labour market is in need of considerable change to ensure that work provides the economic stability that it should. Too many people are in work yet unable to afford the cost of essential things like food and energy. We see that across the income distribution people want to see changes that will enhance their living standards by improving pay and conditions at work and reducing the cost of essentials. Politicians should pay close attention to the public consensus on these solutions, particularly against the backdrop of widespread political disaffection and a looming parliamentary election.

But critically we cannot only rely on work to lift people’s incomes. People who cannot work due to caring responsibility or disability need an adequate and reliable income through social security. The current system is falling short from providing the security it is designed to provide. Government and employers must work together to remove the structural barriers that lock people out of the labour market, support people into good work, and provide a decent income through our social security system for those unable to work.

Housing tenure is a key component of insecurity. Housing costs account for a large share of living expenses, and housing tenure determines these costs and the extent to which people can build economic security through assets. Nearly 1 in 3 (31%) private renters said that they were worried about having to move out of their home in the next 12 months because they couldn't afford it. This is compared to 22% of social renters, 18% of people with a mortgage and 9% of people who own outright.

Social renters tend to have lower incomes than private renters, and are more likely than private renters to be in poverty before housing costs. Housing costs are a bigger driver for private renters, dragging more households into poverty (after housing costs — AHC) because of their housing costs alone. This means it is not surprising that housing costs are a bigger driver for feelings of economic insecurity for private renters than social renters. Additionally, when we consider the greater security of tenure for homeowners and social renters, there exists an additional layer of insecurity for private renters which is likely to intensify feeling of risk if they cannot afford their housing costs.

Younger people are less likely to own and more likely to be private renters. When we look at this pattern by age, for people under 35 we see similar proportions of people feeling economically insecure whether people are renting or paying a mortgage. For people aged 35 and over we see a higher rate of private renters reporting worries about needing to move out of their home because they can’t afford it than for other tenures. More than 1 in 3 (35%) private renting 45-54 year-olds were worried about this compared to 18% of social renters in this age group.

However, when we look at proportions of people who are very insecure by age and tenure we see that younger renters, particularly social renters, are more likely to be very economically insecure compared to older age groups.

This shows that housing costs are a contributing factor across tenures but are a bigger driver of economic insecurity for younger people and for renters across age groups.

Having access to a safe, affordable and good-quality home is a fundamental human right and underpins economic security. Both housing tenure and housing costs directly influence how secure people feel in their day-to-day expenses and their longer-term financial stability. 1 in 10 people reported that housing would be 1 of the top 3 ways to make them feel more economically secure. As you would expect, this varies by tenure, with more than 1 in 4 private renters (27%) prioritising this as a solution that would make them more economically secure.

The amount of savings that people have also makes a difference to how people feel about other aspects of economic security. Unsurprisingly, we see greater worry about debt for people with less savings, less satisfaction with their savings and less confidence about their future than for people with more savings. For example, 58% of people with no savings are worried about their levels of debt compared to 16% of people with savings of £100,000 or more.

Around half of respondents reported that they had a workplace and/or private pension. Perhaps surprisingly, there is little difference in the proportion of people feeling economically insecure by whether they have a pension or not. We may have expected a wider gap here since pensions are one of the key safety nets in older age. This is likely because other financial buffers, such as monthly income and savings, are what people rely on in the moment, yet pensions provide a safety net for the future, so these are less prevalent in the mind of younger respondents. A second caveat is that in this sample, 1 in 3 respondents without a workplace and/or private pension are aged over 65.

Bearing in mind that this age group generally have lower economic insecurity, this difference may widen further if focusing on working-age adults. The fact that we also see that improved pensions is a top response for both people with and without workplace and/or private pensions also underlines that pensions are more closely tied to economic security than the broader findings suggest.

Underlining that, we do notice clear differences when we look at the proportion that are confident that they will have a decent standard of living in old age. Half (49%) of people with a workplace and/or private pension were confident that they will have a decent standard of living in old age, compared to 40% of people without one.

Shifting our focus from savings to debt, we find that people who are worried about their current levels of debt are more likely to be feeling economically insecure. 8 in 10 (79%) of people who agreed that they were worried about their family’s level of debt are feeling economically insecure, compared to 3 in 10 (29%) of people who disagreed.

Savings are a good indicator of how households are likely to be feeling about their economic security. We see a decline in feelings of economic insecurity and proportions who are very economically insecure as savings increase. In some ways, savings are the result of other components of economic security such as housing, debt and monthly income, and tie these together. Savings also give people the knowledge that they have something to fall back on if they experience an economic shock, either at the individual level (like losing a job) or at the societal level (like the cost of living crisis). Resolving challenges with other components of economic security would enable more families to strengthen their savings and manage unexpected costs and life transitions.

When we look at people’s hopes for the future, it’s deeply concerning that only 2 in 5 (44%) adults in Scotland are confident they will have a decent standard of living in their old age. This falls to 1 in 3 (32%) people who are feeling economically insecure and only 18% of people who are very economically insecure.

Adults aged 45-54 years old are the age group who feel least confident about having a decent standard of living in old age, followed by adults aged 55-64 (30% and 40% respectively). While part of this may be due to younger age groups having both thought less about later life and having more time to ‘catch up’, there are clear economic expectations for this age group putting them under financial strains such as mortgage payments and stagnating earnings. We also see that people aged 45 to 54 were less likely to have good levels of savings than other age groups.

There is a clear relationship between household income and feeling confident about your future living standards, with 1 in 3 (34%) in income quintile 1 feeling confident compared to 59% in income quintile 5. Actions taken to improve people's income and wider financial safety net through addressing the building blocks of economic security can ensure a safer and more predictable future. This is not only important for the wellbeing of families in Scotland but is essential for re-building the public’s confidence that politics can create meaningful change.

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This briefing is part of the public attitudes topic.

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